Vince Lombardi

No Monday Morning Quarterbacks

Follow QuantCoach on Twitter


QC's Week 11 Thoughts

After Tampa Bay destroyed Philadelphia, 45-17, behind rookie QB Jameis Winston’s 5 TD passes, Eagles HC Chip Kelly said flatly, “We got out-coached.” He was right. Two areas where design and coaching can be particularly impactful are in pass protection and pass coverage. HC Lovie Smith and his staff have been juggling personnel in both areas most of the year. But, as rookies Ali Marpet and Donovan Smith have gained experience on the offensive line and rookie Jude Adjei-Berimah has emerged at corner, things have started to come together in Tampa. At 5-5, the Buccaneers clearly are in the mix for a wild-card playoff berth. That’s good coaching.


Notwithstanding that QB Tony Romo returned from injury and Dallas broke its 6-game losing streak with a 24-14 win over Miami that drew the Cowboys within 2 games of the NFC East leading Giants (5-5), everything is not fixed in Dallas. The Cowboys again lost the turnover battle, 2-1. For the year, Dallas is -9 TO. Only Detroit (-10 TO) has subsidized its opponents more. If the Cowboys do not become less generous, it is unlikely they can make up the ground even in a weak division.


Denver QB Brock Osweiler performed gamely in the first start of his 4-year pro career, a 17-15 win over Chicago. Osweiler tossed 2 TD passes and did not commit a turnover. He was sacked 5 times. But that is not necessarily a bad thing. Historically, Peyton Manning has never been one to take sacks and his reluctance to do so sometimes has lead to turnovers. The Bears defense is coordinated by Vic Fangio, who presents a tough exam for QB, much less one with as little on-field experience as Osweiler. Under the circumstances, Denver HC Gary Kubiak had to be pleased. If Osweiler continues to avoid turnovers, Kubiak probably will stick with Osweiler. The test this week is even stiffer: Belichick. Given the quality of DC Wade Phillips’ defense, sticking with Osweiler at least until he proves he cannot avoid turnovers is the right decision.


Houston seems to be regaining its 2014 form and may have a chance to save the AFC South from becoming just the second division to send a team to the playoffs with a losing record. The last two weeks, the Texans have used tough defense to beat teams that have spent most of the year in the Top 10 in play design +/- (Cincinnati and NY Jets). And they have done so mostly without starting QB Brian Hoyer. While he is a journeyman stop-gap, Hoyer is (mostly) a competent plug-in. If J.J. Watt and company can continue to throttle opposing attacks, Bill O’Brien’s team has a pretty good chance to dethrone Indy has division champs and may still have a big upset or two left in them.

(Archives Home)

10 Commandments

About QuantCoach

Recipe Equations


Team Standings

Football Knowledge

What game or team would you like the QuantCoach to analyze using QC's coaching statistics? Use Twitter or the headset to send QC a game that you remember or a team that you followed and QC will post an analysis using the QC coaching statistics on the Chalkboard.

Contact QuantCoach

© 2009 is not affiliated with the National Football League or any of its members.
The material contained on is for entertainment purposes only.